A lissafi lasafta farashin bitcoin ga 2018

Price of Bitcoin ga 2018

a Janairu 22, mai amfani Medium Joel Lopez Barata wallafa wani post: “Na lasafta farashin bitcoin ga dukan shekara 2018. Za su yi ĩmãni ba da sakamakon! “Tare da disclaimer” wannan shi ne kawai wani ra'ayi, ba wani zuba jari majalisa. ” Lopez riyadiyan lissafin su ne bisa suke cewa da hali na bitcoin a nan gaba zai dace da hali a baya. A wannan yanayin, Lopez ya wadãtu da bitcoin “lafiya kudi”, kuma Fiat – babu: “A nan gaba riba zai zama daidai da na karshe, yayin da mafi yawan mutane fahimci cewa bitcoin ne mafi kyau kudi.”

A Lopez kwaikwaiyo dogara ne a kan Monte Carlo Hanyar. Wannan shi ne mai fadi da kewayon mai aiki da na'urar kwamfuta lissafi mai tsauri da dogara a kan maimaita bazuwar samfurori. A wannan yanayin, Lopez amfani da kullum dollar riba daga bitcoin su fahimci abin da m farashin zai kasance da karshen 2018.

Don lissafi da kullum riba, ya rabu a yanzu bitcoin farashin da diyyar da ranar karshe, kuma subtracts naúrar: “Da yake jawabi game da Monte Carlo kwaikwaiyo a finance, muka ɗauka cewa nan gaba farashin hali na kadara za su yi kama da ta wuce hali, da kuma haifar da wani yawa na bazuwar versions wannan nan gaba , wanda aka sani a ilmin lissafi kamar yadda “bazuwar fannin”. Cikakken code for samar da irin wannan kwaikwaiyo ne samuwa a kan GitHub.

Don gina kowane bazuwar yawo model a cikin kwaikwaiyo, daya dole dauki bazuwar samfurori da kullum riba daga 2010 to a yau, ƙara su, sa'an nan kuma ninka cumulatively har Disamba 31, 2018. bayan da cewa, yanzu farashin bitcoin ne ta tara da tamanin da wani bazuwar yawo, kuma sakamakon haka ne a kwaikwaiyo na nan gaba farashin. Wannan yana bukatar a yi sau da yawa (a cikin wannan harka – 100,000 sau), kuma a karshen shekarar za mu gani da karshe farashin rarraba ga kowane bazuwar yawo.

Na farko 200 na 100,000 bazuwar fannin kama da wannan:

Price of Bitcoin ga 2018
Sai dai itace cewa da karshe farashin for mafi bazuwar tafiya jeri daga $ 10,000 to $ 100,000. Wadannan zane nuna rarraba karshe farashin ga duk 100,000 bazuwar fannin:

lasafta farashin bitcoin ga 2018
Yana nuna cewa mafi m farashin dabam tsakanin $ 24,000 da kuma $ 90,000. Don gane da shi mafi daidai, akwai hanyoyi da dama. farko, za ka iya kawai lissafi da 50% -th percentile da rarraba karshe farashin. Yana zai zama daidai da $ 58,843. Wani Hanyar yin lissafi ne da yiwuwar yawa aiki ta amfani da makaman nukiliya yawa kimanta da kuma samun da farashin m zuwa iyakar da wannan aiki – $ 55,530.

Amma wannan ba shine karshe nuna alama, shi ne har yanzu mafi alhẽri ga amfani da shi don samun amincewa tazara. Ga bitcoin farashin, da 80% amincewa tazara zai zama $ 13,200 – $ 271,277. Ya kuma nuna cewa chances cewa nan da karshen shekarar da farashin zai zama kasa $ 13,200 ne guda a matsayin chances cewa zai kasance sama $ 271,277.

Yanzu cewa nukiliya yawa kimanta da aka sani, yana yiwuwa ya kirga yiwuwar cewa kudin na bitcoin zai fada da ƙarshen shekara dangi zuwa wani nuna alama. a musamman, yiwuwar cewa farashin zai zama m ko ta daidaita da matakin na Janairu 20 ($ 12,000), ne 9.84%.


Mawallafi: Richard Abermann


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